Hard Lessons Learned Over the Last 4 Years

Francois Le Clus • December 2, 2024

The past four years taught us how quickly an epidemic can disrupt the world—and how resilient life can be as things eventually return to normal. Financial markets reminded us of their temporary nature, and emotional reactions often led to regret.

 

For instance, if you disinvested during the market downturn, you likely missed out on the rebound. Similarly, if you splurged on a new home or car, you might now feel the sting of higher repayments.

 

During the pandemic, South Africa's prime interest rate dropped to 7.25%. However, inflation surged over the next two years, pushing rates to a peak of 11.75%, with today's rate at 11.25%. The impact on debt was significant:

  • A R3 million home bought at 7.25% had monthly repayments of R23,711.28. At 11.75%, that jumped to R32,511.21.
  • A R1 million car financed at prime +1% over 60 months went from R20,396/month to R22,625/month today.

 

These challenges highlighted the need to plan for worst-case scenarios, not just best-case ones. Building flexibility into budgets is essential to handle rising interest rates.

 

Another key takeaway was the importance of staying invested during market turmoil. For example, the S&P 500, FTSE 100, and JSE Top 40 saw sharp declines in early 2020 due to COVID-19 but rebounded significantly within six months. Those who panicked and moved to money market funds likely missed out on substantial growth.


The lesson is clear: stick to a strategy, plan wisely, and avoid emotional decisions in turbulent times. Speak to your financial advisor when making important financial decisions. We are there to educate, assist and guide our clients in all facets of your life.

By Francois Le Clus May 28, 2025
Should you withdraw your Pension and pay off your home? It's perfectly normal to ask whether you should use your pension to pay off your home when leaving an employer. This decision involves weighing the tax on the withdrawal, the interest saved on your bond, the future growth of your pension fund, and the contributions needed to catch up. Example: Anne is 40 years old with a pension fund worth R3,500,000. She bought a home 10 years ago for R3,000,000 and bonded it over 20 years at an 11% interest rate, with monthly repayments of R30,965. After 10 years, her outstanding bond is R2,258,225. If she withdraws her pension, she’ll receive R2,408,300 after tax—enough to settle the bond and have some cash left over. By paying off the bond early: She saves R1,467,919 in interest. She frees up R30,965 in monthly cash flow. However, if she keeps the money invested, her pension could grow to R37,921,470 by age 65 (assuming 10% annual growth). To match this value after using her pension to pay off the bond, she’d need to invest R28,580 per month for the next 25 years. That’s R2,385 less than her current bond repayment, so she does save monthly—but only for the next 10 years. After that, she’s committed to investing R28,580/month for 25 years to break even.  Not everyone’s calculation is the same and there are endless amounts of permutations to this calculation, but it’s important to note that you need to consider all of these factors when making these crucial decisions.
By Riaan Botha May 28, 2025
Ons ontleed watter gewoontes meewerk om ’n gelukkige aftrede te verseker. Hierdie maand bespreek ons hoe om gesond te lewe tydens aftrede. Mediese kostes verhoog hoe ouer ons word. Die koste van ’n mediese fonds verhoog jaarliks met meer as die inflasiekoers en mediese uitgawes sal in die toekoms ’n al groter persentasie van ons persoonlike uitgawes vereis. Dit is daarom belangrik om so gesond as moontlik te leef. Hier is verskillende stappe wat gevolg kan word om gesond oud te word: Eet gesond. Moenie oorgewig wees nie. Word sterker deur oefeninge te doen wat jou spiermassa behou. Doen jaarliks mediese ondersoeke om te bepaal hoe gesond jy is. Beskerm jou gewrigte en beenstruktuur deur krag- en rek-oefeninge te doen. Verminder rook en alkohol-inname om jou kanse van kanker en ander siektes te beperk. Indien jy ’n familie-geskiedenis het van siektes soos kanker en hart-toestande. moet jy vir gereelde mediese toetse gaan om vroegtydig te bepaal of jy nie die siektes onder lede het nie. Verbeter jou liggaamsbalans deur oefeninge te doen soos om op een been te staan terwyl jy jou tande borsel. Hierdeur verseker jy dat jy nie gereeld jou liggaamsbalans verloor en val nie. Studies het bewys dat dit help om jou fisieke en geestelike gesondheid te behou deur sewe tot agt ure per nag te slaap. Hou jou brein-funksie of kognitiewe vermoë in ’n goeie toestand deur brein-oefeninge te doen, soos om nuwe stokperdjies te beoefen of memoriseringsoefeninge te doen. Volg ’n aktiewe sosiale lewe. Studies het getoon dat mense met ’n aktiewe sosiale lewe minder geheue-probleme ontwikkel. Hulle het ’n verminderde kans om eensaam te voel en depressief te word (Health Connection, Cooper, University Health Care, 9 September 2024).