Hard Lessons Learned Over the Last 4 Years
The past four years taught us how quickly an epidemic can disrupt the world—and how resilient life can be as things eventually return to normal. Financial markets reminded us of their temporary nature, and emotional reactions often led to regret.
For instance, if you disinvested during the market downturn, you likely missed out on the rebound. Similarly, if you splurged on a new home or car, you might now feel the sting of higher repayments.
During the pandemic, South Africa's prime interest rate dropped to 7.25%. However, inflation surged over the next two years, pushing rates to a peak of 11.75%, with today's rate at 11.25%. The impact on debt was significant:
- A R3 million home bought at 7.25% had monthly repayments of R23,711.28. At 11.75%, that jumped to R32,511.21.
- A R1 million car financed at prime +1% over 60 months went from R20,396/month to R22,625/month today.
These challenges highlighted the need to plan for worst-case scenarios, not just best-case ones. Building flexibility into budgets is essential to handle rising interest rates.
Another key takeaway was the importance of staying invested during market turmoil. For example, the S&P 500, FTSE 100, and JSE Top 40 saw sharp declines in early 2020 due to COVID-19 but rebounded significantly within six months. Those who panicked and moved to money market funds likely missed out on substantial growth.

The lesson is clear: stick to a strategy, plan wisely, and avoid emotional decisions in turbulent times. Speak to your financial advisor when making important financial decisions. We are there to educate, assist and guide our clients in all facets of your life.

