The Impact of Interest Rates Cuts on your Investments

Ruvan J Grobler • July 30, 2024

The Impact of Interest Rates Cuts on your Investments


Interest rate cuts have been on our lips since the middle of 2023, but global inflation has been extremely sticky in the current cycle. Now once again it seems that markets are pricing in cuts from September on. These predicted cuts are largely dependant on what inflation does. SA inflation recently cooled down to 5.1% from 5.2% year on year and the overall economy looks to be slowing down.


 Many are sceptical of the influence that monetary policy has on South Africa. We need intervention that support economic growth, regardless of your opinion on monetary policy. An interest rate cut should promote activity in our economy as capital will once again start moving around searching for opportunities due to lower interest rates. Bonds have an inverse relationship with interest rates while cash has a direct relationship.


 Listed companies will benefit from lower payments on their own debts while consumer spending picks up. This is positive for shareholders as balance sheets improve and shares become attractive. Especially at this time where valuations show great upside for SA equities.


 Interest rate cycles often coincide with the economic cycle. Knowing where we are in the economic cycle is essential in identifying opportunities, it gives us a framework on risk and volatility. Just like countless times before, we have made it to the light at the end of the tunnel.


“History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often Rhymes” – Mark Twain


Ruvan J Grobler RFP™


 


*This does not serve as financial advice.

How to invest in a volatile market

By Geo Botha • July 4, 2025
How to invest in a volatile market: 3 Principles to keep in mind ‘In the short term, markets can be very volatile depending on which news story makes headlines. However, over the longer-term investors are always rewarded for staying invested and riding out the waves.’ We know this by now, we have heard it many times before and historical data proves it. Yet it’s easier said than done. When it gets to our own money we are emotionally involved and there is a part of us that believes that this time, it might indeed be different. What if the markets never recover and I suffer permanent capital loss. And with the increase power of AI and social media, it feels like my portfolio hangs on the thread of a single Tweet. In this article Stephen Bernard, an actuarial analyst form our partner Allan Gray share his views, backed by statistics and historical evidence: Read the article here: https://www.allangray.co.za/latest-insights/markets-and-economy/how-to-invest-in-a-volatile-market/

Invest Globally, Prosper Locally: Offshore Strategies for SA Investors

By Ruvan J Grobler • July 1, 2025
In an increasingly interconnected global economy, South African investors are finding compelling reasons to look beyond local borders when building long-term wealth. Offshore investing offers access to broader, more resilient markets, particularly in developed economies with stronger currencies and more stable political environments. Given South Africa’s constrained economic growth, fiscal uncertainty, and the rand’s vulnerability as an emerging market currency, allocating a portion of your portfolio offshore can serve as both a growth engine and a hedge. Investing offshore provides exposure to world-leading companies, industries, and fund managers that are often unavailable in the local market. It allows investors to participate in innovation-led growth in sectors like technology, healthcare, and clean energy, which are typically underrepresented on the JSE. Most importantly, it supports diversification—not just across asset classes, but across geographies, currencies, and economic cycles—reducing concentration risk tied to the South African economy. Key Reasons to Invest Offshore: Diversification: Reduce reliance on South African markets and benefit from a broader global opportunity set. Currency Hedge: Protect your wealth against rand depreciation by investing in hard currencies. Global Access: Gain exposure to top-tier international asset managers and world-class investments. Growth Potential: Participate in faster-growing economies and industries driving global expansion. Important Considerations for South African Tax Residents Before investing offshore, it’s essential to evaluate how your investment aligns with your broader financial planning, particularly around access, succession, taxation, and estate planning: Flexibility: Will you have access to your funds when needed? What types of investments can you hold? Succession Planning: Can your investment be transferred to your heirs? Will Capital Gains Tax (CGT) apply? Tax Compliance: Is the structure tax-efficient, and what must be declared on your tax return? Estate Structuring: Will your investment attract foreign estate duties? Is an offshore executor required? An Efficient Offshore Solution: The Offshore Wrapper A tailored offshore wrapper can simplify many of these complexities, offering a cost-effective and administratively streamlined solution. Key benefits include: No exposure to offshore estate duties No South African executor fees on death No inheritance tax in the offshore jurisdiction Ability to nominate beneficiaries directly for smooth succession Creditor protection for assets held within the structure Consolidation of various investments (e.g., share portfolios, funds) under one structure Minimum investment from $25,000 Tax Treatment The offshore wrapper also provides significant tax efficiency: Taxes are calculated and settled annually by the platform—no action required by the investor CGT is capped at 12%, and income tax at 30% Taxes are applied to USD returns, meaning rand depreciation is not taxed Reach out to me at ruvan@bovest.co.za for more information. Ruvan J Grobler RFP™ (PGDip Financial Planning)