What is the effect of the first 100 days of the GNU on your investment portfolio?

Riaan Botha • October 23, 2024

The Government of National Unity (GNU) was formed between the African National Congress (ANC) and nine other political parties. The GNU governance structure was established after the 27 May 2024 national and provincial elections during which no political party obtained a 50% plus vote. In his inauguration address on 19 June 2024, President Ramaphosa describe the GNU as the beginning of a new era in South African politics.


The previous GNU was formed in 1994 and dissolved in 1999. The aim of the previous GNU was to govern through consensus seeking and not governed by the winner take all approach. The vision of this GNU is to set South Africa on a path towards social cohesion and nation-building.  

This political shift has fostered optimism around the country’s economic future. The collective effort from politicians to participate in GNU was welcomed by business and the relationship between the private sector and government has been improved. A positive vibe was created on the local financial markets and the South African Rand broke R18 to the US Dollar. The performance of the local asset classes from 1 June 2024 to 30 September 2024 were:


  • The JSE All Share Index rose with 12.83%
  • SA All Bond Index increased with 16.29%.
  • Listed Property Index Tracker Funds increased 25.77%
  • Money market rates saw a 0.25% decline.


The GNU was not the only factor that influenced the prices of asset classes and other economic indicators, like interest rates, also played a role. It is however the positive economic sentiment that GNU has created through the collective decision-making process from different political parties that played a positive role in the minds of investors.

 

The way forward?

In the short term we could expect that investment portfolios will perform above average depending on that the economy performed well, and that earnings of listed companies increases.

 What is the lifespan of this GNU? The previous political collective decision-making structure survived for 5 years. In the nineties South Africa had a dominant political party in Parlement as well as a better performing economy. However, this time is different, and a performing economy with prosper financial markets could create a scenario that it is better for political parties to be part of GNU than to be left out.

 

Dr AP Botha

21 October 2024


By Dr. Riaan Botha June 2, 2026
Die uitdrukking “Twee koppe is beter as een” is welbekend en dui daarop dat samewerking voordelig is. Is daar voordele vir lede van ’n familie wanneer hulle gesamentlik familie-finansiële beplanning doen, asook inkomstevoorsiening deur middel van familiebesighede? Familiebesighede in Suid-Afrika, waar gesamentlike finansiële beplanning plaasvind, is ’n belangrike deel van die ekonomie. Talle Afrikaanssprekendes is afkomstig van die platteland waar hulle in ’n familiebesigheidsomgewing op plase grootgeword het. Weens ’n verskeidenheid van redes verander die landbou-familiebesigheidsomgewing, en sommige van hierdie families verskuif hul familiesakebelange met groot sukses na ander sektore van die ekonomie. Entrepreneursvaardighede word egter benodig om vir jouself ’n inkomste te skep. Bovest is behulpsaam om die nodige entrepreneurskundigheid deur middel van die TV-program “Welvaartskeppers” aan die kykerspubliek bekend te stel. Bykomend hiertoe word finansiële advies aan families gegee om sodoende maksimum finansiële voordeel te verkry. Indien die voordele van familie-finansiële beplanning met dié van persoonlike finansiële beplanning vergelyk word, bestaan die volgende voordele: Laer gesamentlike fooie vir familielede kan beding word; Meer effektiewe belastingskale kan benut word deur beleggingskapitaal tussen gades te verdeel; Die oordrag van welvaart na die volgende geslag kan vergemaklik word deur familietrusts te gebruik; Gedeelde verantwoordelikheid bevorder dissipline om by langtermyn-kapitaalbouplanne te hou; Verskillende lewensiklusse en risiko-aptyte help om die familie se beleggingsportefeulje te balanseer; Die verskille in ouderdom en lewensfases ondersteun die uiteenlopende eiendomsbehoeftes van familielede. Aangesien die finansiële beplanning van families meer kompleks is, benodig dit samewerking tussen die verskillende geslagte om behoeftes en verwagtinge te verwesenlik. Die rol van die Bovest-adviseur in hierdie proses kan nie onderskat word nie.
By Godfried Kotzé June 2, 2026
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