What is the effect of the first 100 days of the GNU on your investment portfolio?

Riaan Botha • October 23, 2024

The Government of National Unity (GNU) was formed between the African National Congress (ANC) and nine other political parties. The GNU governance structure was established after the 27 May 2024 national and provincial elections during which no political party obtained a 50% plus vote. In his inauguration address on 19 June 2024, President Ramaphosa describe the GNU as the beginning of a new era in South African politics.


The previous GNU was formed in 1994 and dissolved in 1999. The aim of the previous GNU was to govern through consensus seeking and not governed by the winner take all approach. The vision of this GNU is to set South Africa on a path towards social cohesion and nation-building.  

This political shift has fostered optimism around the country’s economic future. The collective effort from politicians to participate in GNU was welcomed by business and the relationship between the private sector and government has been improved. A positive vibe was created on the local financial markets and the South African Rand broke R18 to the US Dollar. The performance of the local asset classes from 1 June 2024 to 30 September 2024 were:


  • The JSE All Share Index rose with 12.83%
  • SA All Bond Index increased with 16.29%.
  • Listed Property Index Tracker Funds increased 25.77%
  • Money market rates saw a 0.25% decline.


The GNU was not the only factor that influenced the prices of asset classes and other economic indicators, like interest rates, also played a role. It is however the positive economic sentiment that GNU has created through the collective decision-making process from different political parties that played a positive role in the minds of investors.

 

The way forward?

In the short term we could expect that investment portfolios will perform above average depending on that the economy performed well, and that earnings of listed companies increases.

 What is the lifespan of this GNU? The previous political collective decision-making structure survived for 5 years. In the nineties South Africa had a dominant political party in Parlement as well as a better performing economy. However, this time is different, and a performing economy with prosper financial markets could create a scenario that it is better for political parties to be part of GNU than to be left out.

 

Dr AP Botha

21 October 2024

SA Trusts can now distribute to offshore trusts

By PJ Botha • September 4, 2025
For a long time, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) prohibited money from being transferred directly from local trusts to offshore trusts. You may have had offshore exposure in your local trust through asset swops and other investment vehicles, but if you want to distribute to overseas beneficiaries, you must first withdraw funds from the trust and then transfer to them through the SARB. This recently changed. SARS declared that beginning August 1, 2023, it will evaluate and possibly approve petitions to transfer funds from South African trusts to offshore trusts. This adjustment coincides with the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) recent relaxation of several currency control regulations. While this new alternative provides numerous prospects, there are tight criteria and a thorough application process. If you are an investor or trustee, you must understand these requirements. There is certainly no one-size-fits-all answer, and the drawbacks and benefits should be examined while deciding. Drawbacks: 1. Complex Regulatory Requirements. • Strict compliance required: The procedure is extensive, necessitating meticulous documentation and adherence to both SARS and SARB regulations. • Long approval process: Each application is assessed individually, which can take weeks or even months. 2. Cost • Legal, tax, and accounting assistance can be costly. • Administrative burden: Extensive documentation and regular reporting increase management time and expenses. 3. Tax obligations • The South African trust must pay all relevant taxes (capital gains, dividends, etc.) before distribution, preventing tax deferral to the recipient. Money held in a trust is often taxed at a higher rate than money held in the name of a company or individual. 4. Uncertainty and Evolving Practice • New regulations may impact future distributions and compliance needs. • Disputes: Failure to meet SARS or SARB rules may result in delayed or refused distributions. Benefits: 1. Global Wealth Diversification. Offshore trusts may provide superior asset protection during political or economic volatility in South Africa. 2. Succession and Estate Planning • Multi-Jurisdictional Estate Planning: This allows families with members living in different countries to structure their affairs more efficiently. • Offshore trusts facilitate the transfer of money to beneficiaries outside South Africa, simplifying inheritance processes. 3. Tax preparation • Offshore trusts can optimise worldwide tax positions with proper preparation and professional counsel, but must follow all applicable requirements. 4. Regulatory Clarity • Official Approval: SARS and SARB now provide clear protocols for trustees and investors, eliminating legal risks. The ability to transfer money from a South African trust to an offshore trust is a useful tool for global estate and investment planning. Professional guidance is essential to maximise benefits and avoid pitfalls.

AFGETREDENES EN MEDIESE KOSTES

By Riaan Botha • September 4, 2025
’n Nuwe denke oor ouderdom. ‘n Positiewe benadering oor verouderdom word gevorm as gevolg van die ontwikkeling van tegnologie en die mediese wetenskap. Statistieke wys dat die mens langer neem om te verouder en op ’n hoër ouderdom afsterf. Met veroudering word nuwe perspektiewe oor verhoudings met familie en vriende gevorm. ’n Groter dringendheid bestaan om beplanning uit te voer. Daar is ’n besef dat die tyd aanstap en dat elke oomblik geniet moet word. Die gewoonte om uit te stel en eers later belangrike momente in jou lewe te wil ervaar, verander. Daar is ’n besef dat die liggaam verouder maar dat die innerlike self steeds wil vernuwe. Laasgenoemde kan aangehelp word deur positiewe denke en gewoontes soos om terug te gee aan die plaaslike gemeenskap, om kennis te deel deur om te skryf of om onderrig te gee. Daar kan selfs oorweeg word om ’n nuwe vaardigheid aan te leer. Een van ons kliente wat ’n afgetrede predikant is, het na aftrede begin om klavierlesse te neem terwyl ander persone ’n nuwe plaaslike taal aangeleer het. Mediese kostes  Volgens Stats SA se verslag “Profile of older persons in SA” wat in 2023 gepubliseer is, het die gedeelte van die SA bevolking wat ouer as 60 jaar is, verhoog van 7,0% in 1996 tot 9,8% in 2022. Wanneer die bevolking per groep ontleed word, maak die 60 jaar en ouer gedeelte van die betrokke groep die volgende uit: Blankes ongeveer 29%, Indiërs/Asiate 16,5%, Kleurlinge 10,9% en Swartes 7,8%. Hiervan gebruik ongeveer 50% kroniese medisyne, 20% gebruik brille, 10% dra gehoortoestelle en 5% is in rolstoele.Hierdie ondersteunende toestelle is duur en word nie altyd ten volle deur mediese fondse betaal nie. Die verslag noem ook dat meer as 50% van persone ouer as 60 leef in huishoudings wat uitgebreide families huisves. Mediese uitgawes is seker een van die belangrikste items in ’n afgetredene se begroting. Dit is ’n ongelukkige verskynsel dat mediese kostes met ouderdom verhoog. Die koste van ’n mediese fonds verhoog jaarliks met 3% tot 5% meer as die inflasiekoers en sal ’n al groter persentasie van ons persoonlike uitgawes vereis. Om die regte mediese fonds volgens persoonlike mediese kondisies te kies, speel ’n belangrike rol om deurlopende mediese uitgawes te beperk. Gap Cover kan ’n belangrike rol speel wanneer mediese fondsvoordele nie al die werklike mediese uitgawes dek nie. ’n Versekeringsproduk wat sal uitbetaal wanneer een van die gevreesde siekte opgedoen word, kan ook help om onverwagte mediese uitgawes te dek. RIAAN BOTHA