What is the effect of the first 100 days of the GNU on your investment portfolio?

Riaan Botha • October 23, 2024

The Government of National Unity (GNU) was formed between the African National Congress (ANC) and nine other political parties. The GNU governance structure was established after the 27 May 2024 national and provincial elections during which no political party obtained a 50% plus vote. In his inauguration address on 19 June 2024, President Ramaphosa describe the GNU as the beginning of a new era in South African politics.


The previous GNU was formed in 1994 and dissolved in 1999. The aim of the previous GNU was to govern through consensus seeking and not governed by the winner take all approach. The vision of this GNU is to set South Africa on a path towards social cohesion and nation-building.  

This political shift has fostered optimism around the country’s economic future. The collective effort from politicians to participate in GNU was welcomed by business and the relationship between the private sector and government has been improved. A positive vibe was created on the local financial markets and the South African Rand broke R18 to the US Dollar. The performance of the local asset classes from 1 June 2024 to 30 September 2024 were:


  • The JSE All Share Index rose with 12.83%
  • SA All Bond Index increased with 16.29%.
  • Listed Property Index Tracker Funds increased 25.77%
  • Money market rates saw a 0.25% decline.


The GNU was not the only factor that influenced the prices of asset classes and other economic indicators, like interest rates, also played a role. It is however the positive economic sentiment that GNU has created through the collective decision-making process from different political parties that played a positive role in the minds of investors.

 

The way forward?

In the short term we could expect that investment portfolios will perform above average depending on that the economy performed well, and that earnings of listed companies increases.

 What is the lifespan of this GNU? The previous political collective decision-making structure survived for 5 years. In the nineties South Africa had a dominant political party in Parlement as well as a better performing economy. However, this time is different, and a performing economy with prosper financial markets could create a scenario that it is better for political parties to be part of GNU than to be left out.

 

Dr AP Botha

21 October 2024

Selfontwikkeling is belangrik vir ons menswees

April 29, 2026
Die woord “aftrede” is ‘n skrikwekkende woord wat jou maag laat rondtol. Wat bekommewekkend is die woordjie “stagnasie” – ‘n vrees wat met aftrede geassosieer kan word. Selfontwikkeling is nie ‘n luukse wat slegs vir sekere fases van ons lewenreis gereserveer is nie; dit is ‘n noodsaaklike en lewenslange proses wat die kwaliteit van ons menslike bestaan bepaal. In ‘n wêreld wat voortdurend verander – tegnologies, sosiaal en ekonomies – kan stilstand maklik tot agteruitgang lei. Miskien is selfontwikkeling juis te meer belangrik vir afgetredenes – dit is ‘n proses waardeer alledaagse betrokkenheid en sinvolle gesprek die waarde van jou menslike bestaan inderdaad bevestig, ondersteun en instand hou. Selfontwikkeling dra by tot persoonlike groei en selfkennis. Deur nuwe vaardighede aan te leer, kursusse te volg of bloot oor eie ervarings te reflekteer, leer jy jouself beter ken. Hierdie selfkennis help met beter besluitneming. Iemand wat byvoorbeeld besef dat hy/sy swak is in tydsbestuur, kan doelbewus strategieë ontwikkel om dit te verbeter. Vir jonger mense kan selfontwikkeling help in hulle beroepsloopbane. Deesdae met die spronge in tegnologie, is aanpasbaarheid vir nuwe uitdagings ‘n groot vereiste. Vaardighede wat vandag relevant is, kan môre verouderd wees. Deur voortdurend te leer en aan te pas, bly ‘n persoon mededingend en waardevol, spesifiek ook in jou werksomgewing. Die kern van selfontwikkeling lê in ingesteldheid. ‘n Mens moet nooit glo dat jy “klaar” is nie. Selfs op ‘n hoë ouderdom kan jy nuwe vaardighede aanleer, nuwe perspektiewe ontdek en nuwe verhoudinge bou. Hierdie ingesteldheid verhoed byvoorbeeld dat aftrede ‘n eindpunt word; dit maak dit eerder ‘n nuwe begin.  Wanneer ‘n mens stagneer, verloor jy nie net jou kreatiewe energie nie, maar ook jou vermoë om sin en betekenis in jou daaglikse bestaan te vind. Elke daad van groei is ‘n daad van vernuwing, en hou die gees jonk. Om te stagneer is om jou menswees te verwaarloos; om te groei is om jou menswees te eer. Selfontwikkeling hou die vlam van betekenis aan die brand, en dit is die vlam wat die mens se lewensreis tot die einde toe verlig. Geksryf deur Koos van die Waterberge vir Bovest

Never let a Crisis go to Waste

By Ruvan J Grobler • March 31, 2026
In a quiet corner of a garden, a tiny egg rested beneath a leaf, unnoticed by the world. In time, it hatched into a caterpillar—small, vulnerable, and endlessly hungry. Day after day, it consumed everything in its path, growing rapidly but remaining earthbound, exposed to every passing threat. Then, without warning, it stopped. It found a still place, attached itself to a branch, and formed a chrysalis. From the outside, it looked lifeless—fragile, even pointless. To an observer, it might have seemed like the end of its journey. But inside, everything was changing. The caterpillar was breaking down completely, dissolving into something unrecognizable before slowly rebuilding itself into something entirely new. Time passed. When the chrysalis finally opened, the creature that emerged was no longer confined to the ground. Its wings were soft at first, uncertain. It struggled, pushing fluid through them, strengthening them with effort. Only after this resistance could it take flight. And when it did, it soared—no longer bound by the limitations of its former life but shaped by every stage that came before. It’s been six years since humanity’s last global threat, the Covid pandemic. A lot has changed, but we as people have not. Just as the butterfly in the story above goes through its cycle the global economy does too. But the butterfly does not know its going through this cycle, its merely following its path. We are very aware of the cycle as it has an effect on our every day lives especially on our finances. But just as the butterfly follows its path, we do too. Focus on what you can control. We often stress the issues out of our own control and isn’t exclusive to finances. Not a single person reading this article has any control of the global economy and the current conflict in the Middle East. None of us also knew exactly when it would happen and when it is going to end. Don’t get me wrong, I too struggle to manage my thoughts and emotions when we go through the tough parts. Shifting the focus towards finances; except for being in control of how you earn an income, the only other factor you can control is your spending. Stick to your budget! Never stop investing! Stay disciplined! Crisis Asset Allocation I get many questions on what we are doing to manage risk and potential losses. This is where financial planning becomes extremely important. Every single investment in your portfolio is linked to a need or a goal, not just any goal but a time-based goal. This specific time horizon has influenced the type of assets bought in order to reach these goals. The longer away the goal, the more risk is taken and vice versa. Investments where liquidity is needed will be affected much less than a long-term share portfolio. More liquidity, less risk. Meaning that if you need cashflow you should not be worried as the asset exposure will be less affected. Retirement products will have exposure to many different assets where there are conservative assets to provide protection in the short-term. The growth asset exposure that may be volatile now is the part that gives you the long-term inflation beating returns. During this part of the cycle certain assets have become less desirable and opportunities have popped up elsewhere. All portfolios are monitored to make sure that the original mandate is followed, and the investment goal is reached at the end of the applicable term. All asset managers have started to make asset allocation changes to match the changing of the cycle and the Bovest investment committee has also done so. Is it time to sell and move to cash? In short, no. We don’t know when markets will turn and no one else either. Historically in these crises it takes on average around two weeks to reach the bottom of the market and then more than a month to recover. This does create many buying opportunities for asset managers but also for you as investor. Warren Buffet always says, "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful" . This is the time to buy assets on “sale”, don’t sell them. Getting out of the market is the biggest risk, this is where investors lose money. Stick to the plan and stay patient, you will be rewarded. Ruvan J Grobler RFP™ (PGDip Financial Planning)